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FHA, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac are all now backing larger loans

Jan 03, 2020
With the calendar now officially flipped to 2020, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Housing Administration are now backing larger mortgages than they were just a few days ago. That’s because the 2020 loan limits for each of those agencies are now in effect. And each of the agencies’ loan limits are higher for 2020 than they were in 2019. The agencies’ loan limits (the highest dollar amount they will back on a mortgage) are dictated by the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s home price index. And that index rose in 2019, with home prices up nearly 5% over last year’s totals. With higher home prices come higher loan amounts, and the FHA, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac all recently adjusted their loan limit amounts to account for higher home prices. Those higher loan limits took effect on Jan. 1, 2020, meaning the FHA, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac are all now backing larger loans. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are now backing loans that exceed $510,000, while the FHA is backing loans of just above $331,000. At the end of November, the government-sponsored enterprises announced that the 2020 maximum conforming loan limit was increasing from 2019’s level to $484,350 to $510,400 for 2020. That marks the fourth straight year that the FHFA has increased the conforming loan limits after not increasing them for an entire decade from 2006 to 2016. In 2016, the FHFA increased the Fannie and Freddie conforming loan limit for the first time in 10 years, and since then, the loan limit has increased $93,400.In 2016, the FHFA increased the conforming loan limits from $417,000 to $424,100. Then, the FHFA raised the loan limits from $424,100 to $453,100 for 2018. The FHFA then increased the loan limit from $453,100 to $484,350 for 2019. And now, loan limits officially top $510,000. The conforming loan limits for Fannie and Freddie are determined by the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008, which established the baseline loan limit at $417,000 and mandated that, after a period of price declines, the baseline loan limit cannot increase again until home prices return to pre-decline levels. Data from the FHFA showed that home prices increased by 5.38% on average between the third quarter of 2018 and the third quarter of 2019. Therefore, the baseline maximum conforming loan limit in 2020 increased by the same percentage. There are some markets where homes are more expensive, and those areas have even higher loan limits. For areas in which 115% of the local median home value exceeds the baseline conforming loan limit, the maximum loan limit is $765,600 — or 150% of $510,400. 

Meanwhile, the FHA loan limit also increased as of this week. The 2020 FHA loan limit for most of the country is now $331,760, an increase of nearly $17,000 over 2019’s loan limit of $314,827. FHA is required by the National Housing Act, as amended by the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008, to set single-family forward loan limits at 115% of median house prices, subject to a floor and a ceiling on the limits. FHA calculates forward mortgage limits by Metropolitan Statistical Area and county. FHA’s 2020 minimum national loan limit, or “floor,” of $331,760 is 65% of the Fannie, Freddie loan limit of $510,400. This floor applies to “low-cost areas,” which are counties where 115% of the median home price is less than the floor limit. There are a number of counties (approximately 70) where the median home price far exceeds the FHA loan limit floor. Those areas where the loan limit exceeds this floor are considered “high-cost areas”, and HERA requires the FHA to set its maximum loan limit “ceiling” for those high-cost areas at 150% of the national conforming limit. Therefore, for those approximately 70 “high-cost” counties, the FHA’s 2020 loan limit is $765,600, an increase of nearly $40,000 over 2019’s total of $726,525. According to the FHA, the loan limit increased in almost all of the 3,233 counties where it backs loans, but there are a handful of counties where the loan limit actually decreased. Per data from the FHA, there are 11 counties where the loan limit is smaller now than it was in 2019. In three of those counties (Dutchess County, New York; Orange County, New York; and Lincoln County, Idaho), the loan limit is decreasing by approximately 50%, due to the home price changes in those areas.

Gold surges after Iranian general killed by US
Pentagon has already approved responses to further Iranian aggression: Rep. Michael Waltz
Gold prices surged following the U.S. airstrikes against Gen. Qassem Soleimani, head of Iran’s elite Quds Force, late Thursday. The yellow metal jumped over 1 percent to $1,548 an ounce as investors dumped riskier assets, such as stocks, for the safe haven of precious metals. Even before the attacks, the investment picture for gold was bullish after it registered its best year since 2010, and strategists expect that to continue. The precious metal surged 20 percent last year to its biggest annual gain since 2010, according to Dow Jones Market Data, as a deceleration in global growth caused central banks around the world to slash interest rates. “Going into 2020, we remain constructive on gold as late-cycle concerns, heightened political uncertainty coupled with only a modest growth acceleration should, in our view, support investment demand for gold,” wrote Goldman Sachs’ Commodities Research team led by Jeffrey Currie. The firm expects gold to climb 5 percent this year to $1,600 an ounce. Central banks cut rates a total of 131 times in 2019, compared with just 21 rate hikes, according to cbrates.com. The rate cuts came as the global economy grew at a 3 percent pace in 2019, according to the International Monetary Fund, the weakest since the financial crisis. In an effort to combat the slowing global economy, the Federal Reserve, at its December meeting, said it expects to keep rates steady throughout 2020 before raising them once in 2021. The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the core Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, rose 1.6 percent year-over-year in November, which was considerably below its 2 percent objective. A weaker U.S. dollar and macro uncertainties related to the upcoming presidential election and geopolitical risks make gold a “buy from a thematic angle, particularly on dips,” according to the Swiss lender UBS. The firm’s global wealth management team also thinks gold will hit $1,600 an ounce in 2020. But not everyone on Wall Street thinks gold will grind higher this year. Bank of America’s Global Commodity Research team says the Fed’s rate cuts and promise to remain on hold this year could lead to an “uplift in U.S. inflation” that could also be accompanied by “higher long-term interest rates.” The team has a 2020 price target of $1,494 an ounce, or 2.2 percent below current levels.

Where will the hottest housing markets be in 2020? Go south
The hottest housing markets in 2020 will be the ones where the weather is hotter too. New data from Zillow suggests that southern markets are expected to outperform other national markets this year. More specifically, Austin, Texas will stand out the most, according to a new survey from Zillow. In fact, 83% of respondents said they expect the Austin market to outperform nationally, and only 7% said they think it will underperform. “Having subjected buyers to a crucible of fierce competition for multiple years, many West Coast markets hit an affordability ceiling that set off declining home values in the most expensive of these,” said Skylar Olsen, Zillow’s director of economic research. “Indeed, this price correction – a clap back from having appreciated with too much exuberance in the recent past – pushes many previously hot markets to the bottom of our experts’ list.” In a panel comprised of economists and real estate experts conducted by Pulsenomics and Zillow, the average respondent expects U.S. home values to grow by 2.8% this year. Those who participated said they expect Austin, Texas, Charlotte, Atlanta and Nashville to be the most successful markets. In fact, of the 14 markets the experts expect to perform strongly in 2020, 11 come from Texas or elsewhere in the Southeast or Southwest. The exceptions are Denver, Minneapolis and Portland. On the other hand, San Francisco, San Jose and Los Angeles are expected to underperform. These expensive California markets already have a poor track record for affordable housing and cost of living expenses. Cincinnati and Sacramento are the other bottom two. Many of the panelists said they expect home values in San Jose and San Francisco to keep falling in 2020, as well as other California markets. In San Fransisco, only 8.4% of homes sold in Q3 2019 were affordable to families earning the area’s median income of $133,800. “At the top of the list are metros still providing relative affordability and thriving, amenity-rich communities that appeal to younger adults willing to make a move,” Olsen said. “These features, plus the ability to grow and add housing in the future, are attractive propositions for employers and employees alike.”

New York, New Jersey, have highest resident exodus in 2019
New Jersey, New York and other states in the northeast continued to see an uptick in outbound migrations in 2019. According to United Van Lines National Movers Study, which tracks annual migration patterns on a state-by-state basis, New Jersey had the highest percentage of outbound migrations of any state last year at a rate of 68.5 percent. The highest percentage of residents that left the state were wealthy, with nearly half of all outbound migrations occurring at income levels of $150,000 or more. The primary reasons people cited for leaving the Garden State were retirement and jobs. Illinois and New York came after New Jersey with 66.5 percent and 63.1 percent rates of outbound moves, respectively. They were closely trailed by Connecticut at 63 percent. Illinois and New York also saw the largest outflow of residents at the highest income brackets. California ranked seventh among the top outbound states. These high-tax states have been hurt by a $10,000 cap on state and local tax deductions, imposed as part of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. New York, New Jersey and Connecticut even filed a lawsuit to have the measure overturned, which was dismissed by a judge last year. New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo has credited the SALT cap and the flight of the wealthy for a $2.3 billion budget deficit in the state. As previously reported by FOX Business, recent U.S. Census Bureau data showed similar patterns as New York, New Jersey and Connecticut each lost tens of thousands of residents to Florida.

Baby boomers, who are of prime retirement age, drove much of the moving patterns last year. About 45 percent of all inbound moves involved people belonging to this demographic. That helps explain the outbound migrations in the northeast, Michael Stoll, economist and professor at the University of California in Los Angeles, said. “What is unique about the northeast is that the northeast age distribution is shifted towards more older Americans than the rest of the country as a whole,” Stoll said. “With that alone, you’re going to see a prompting of moves out of that region.” Stoll noted that many residents from the northeast moved to southern states like South Carolina and Florida, moves that were driven by climate and lifestyle preferences, as well as lower housing costs. Similar demographic and migration patterns were observed in the Midwest, among states like Kansas, Michigan and Iowa. Stoll said that while state taxes factor into Americans’ moving decisions, they tend to be secondary concerns when compared with the main drivers, like employment changes or retirement. On the other hand, Idaho had the highest percentage of inbound migration at 67.4 percent. It topped the list for the first time in more than 25 years. Idaho, which has a relatively strong and stable economy, is a place where people are locating for both retirement and lifestyle changes, Stoll said. Oregon has the second-highest percentage of inbound moves, at 65.7 percent. Arizona, South Carolina and Washington were next on the list. Florida also made 

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20 Mar, 2020
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19 Mar, 2020
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Builder Application Survey (BAS) data for February 2020 shows mortgage applications for new home purchases increased 25.9 percent compared from a year ago. Compared to January 2020, applications decreased by 1 percent. This change does not include any adjustment for typical seasonal patterns. "Despite a monthly decrease in February new applications and estimated new home sales, the year-over-year trends were strong, with new applications increasing 26 percent, and our estimate of new home sales increasing 8 percent," said Joel Kan, MBA's Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting. "Looking ahead, there is significant uncertainty regarding how the coronavirus epidemic will impact the housing market, and some of January's record-level activity could have been attributed to the warmer winter weather, lower mortgage rates, and the tight inventory of existing homes on the market - especially in lower price tiers." MBA estimates new single-family home sales were running at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 746,000 units in February 2020, based on data from the BAS. The new home sales estimate is derived using mortgage application information from the BAS, as well as assumptions regarding market coverage and other factors. The seasonally adjusted estimate for February is a decrease of 13.8 percent from the January pace of 865,000 units. On an unadjusted basis, MBA estimates that there were 64,000 new home sales in February 2020, a decrease of 3 percent from 66,000 new home sales in January. By product type, conventional loans composed 69.3 percent of loan applications, FHA loans composed 18.5 percent, RHS/USDA loans composed 0.8 percent and VA loans composed 11.4 percent. The average loan size of new homes decreased from $346,140 in January to $340,169 in February. NAHB - HUD, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac suspend foreclosures and evictions President Trump announced today that he has directed the Department of Housing and Urban Development to suspend foreclosures and evictions for mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration through the end of April. The Federal Housing Finance Agency also announced that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will follow suit and suspend all foreclosures and evictions for at least 60 days for home owners with mortgages backed by the two government-sponsored enterprises. “This foreclosure and eviction suspension allows home owners with an Enterprise-backed mortgage to stay in their homes during this national emergency,” said FHFA Director Mark Calabria. “As a reminder, borrowers affected by the coronavirus who are having difficulty paying their mortgage, should reach out to their mortgage servicers as soon as possible. The Enterprises are working with mortgage servicers to ensure that borrowers facing hardship because of the coronavirus can get assistance.” Earlier this month, FHFA announced that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would allow borrowers impacted by the coronavirus to suspend mortgage payments for up to 12 months. New home construction dips again in February Construction of new homes fell again in February, but not as much as the previous month. Those declines follow a December surge which had pushed home construction to the highest level in 13 years. Builders started construction on 1.60 million homes at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, a decline of 1.5% from 1.62 million units in January, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. Analysts had expected a more significant drop. The economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak was not apparent in the February numbers. Application for building permits, considered a good sign of future activity, fell 5.5% in February to an annual rate of 1.46 million units. However, permits for single-family home construction rose 1.7%. Single-family housing starts were up 6.7% to 1,072,000 in February over the revised January figure of 1,005,000. The report on housing starts showed that home building declined the most in the Northeast, falling 25.1%, followed by a 8.2% drop in the West. Home building fell modestly in the West and South regions. The National Association of Home Builders reported Tuesday that its survey of builders' sentiment declined slightly in February, but remains high. The group said that builder confidence reflected a decline in mortgage rates, a low supply of existing homes and a strong labor market with rising wages and the lowest unemployment rate in a half century. But that could change drastically in the coming months as American industry braces for the impact of COVID-19, which is grinding the economy to a near halt as people stay home, airlines cancel flights and public events are called off. "Due to the slowdown in economic growth and the volatility in markets from the coronavirus, mortgage rates will remain lower for longer, which will help homebuyers in the longer run," said Adam DeSanctis of the Mortgage Bankers Association. "However, we may start to see these homebuilding trends take a turn for the worse, depending on the industry's ability to continue day-to-day operations during these difficult times." The average rate on a 30-year-fixed mortgage ticked up slightly to 3.36% last week from 3.29% the previous week, which was the lowest level since mortgage buyer Freddie Mac started tracking the average in 1971. It could fall further this week after the Fed on Sunday slashed its benchmark rate to nearly zero. CoreLogic - single-family rent price increases double the rate of inflation, spurring affordability concerns in the midst of economic volatility - For the 14th consecutive month, Phoenix had the highest year-over-year rent price increase at 6.4% - Lower-priced rentals experienced increases of 3.5%, compared to gains of 2.6% among higher-priced rentals CoreLogic released its latest Single-Family Rent Index (SFRI), which analyzes single-family rent price changes nationally and among 20 metropolitan areas. Data collected for January 2020 shows a national rent increase of 2.9% year over year, down slightly from a 3.2% year-over-year increase in January 2019. Rent prices are now increasing at double the rate of inflation, presenting affordability challenges among current and prospective renters. Low rental home inventory, relative to demand, fuels the growth of single-family rent prices. The SFRI shows single-family rent prices have climbed between 2010 and 2019. However, overall year-over-year rent price increases have slowed since February 2016, when they peaked at 4.2%, and have stabilized at around 3% over the past year. Low-end rentals propped up national rent growth in January, which has been an ongoing trend since May 2014. Rent prices among this tier, defined as properties with rent prices less than 75% of the regional median, increased 3.5% year over year in January 2020, down from a gain of 3.9% in January 2019. Meanwhile, high-end rentals, defined as properties with rent prices greater than 125% of a region’s median rent, increased 2.6% in January 2020, down from a gain of 2.9% in January 2019. Among the 20 metro areas shown in Table 1, and for the 14th consecutive month, Phoenix had the highest year-over-year increase in single-family rents in January 2020 at 6.4% (compared to January 2019). Tucson, Arizona experienced the second-highest rent price growth in January 2020 with gains of 5.2%, followed closely by Las Vegas at 4.9%. Honolulu experienced the lowest rent increases out of all analyzed metros at 0.6%. Metro areas with limited new construction, low rental vacancies and strong local economies that attract new employees tend to have stronger rent growth. Phoenix experienced the highest year-over-year rent growth in January 2020, driven by annual employment growth of 3.2%. Austin, Texas experienced a 3.6% employment growth, which played a role in its above-average rent growth of 3.4% in January. This is compared with the national employment growth average of 1.5%, according to data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics. “The single-family rental market benefited from low unemployment rates over the past year, resulting in an increase in rental demand,” said Molly Boesel, principal economist at CoreLogic. “However, rents are increasing at about double the rate of inflation, which has negatively impacted affordability.” Home sales 'robust' despite coronavirus outbreak, real estate CEO says With many companies struggling amid the coronavirus pandemic, one industry may not be feeling the hurt yet, according to real-estate company Hovnanian Enterprises Inc.'s CEO. "The last two weeks, in one word, have been robust," Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. chairman and CEO Ara Hovnanian shared with FOX Business' Liz Claman on Tuesday. "We have been selling a lot of homes. Frankly, it's been surprising." Hovnanian admitted that going into the outbreak, his company was already seeing strong sales, so they are remaining cautiously optimistic. "New sales closings have been progressing regularly," Hovnanian said on "The Claman Countdown." "Customers want their home. They want to nest. If they're going to be inside for a while, they want to do it in their own home." He recognized the situation is changing quickly, but as of now, he's encouraged. Coronavirus spurs Trump to invoke Defense Production Act 'just in case we need it' President Trump will invoke the Defense Production Act because of the coronavirus pandemic, he said at a press conference Wednesday. "We'll be invoking the Defense Production Act just in case we need it. I think you all know what it is, and it can do a lot of good things if we need it," Trump said, adding that he'd sign it after the presser. The decision means the private sector can ramp up manufacturing of emergency supplies, including medical equipment. In addition, the administration is pushing for direct payments to relieve people suffering financially because of the virus. Trump said the size of those checks is "to be determined." Trump had said he hoped he didn't need the Defense Production Act because "it's a big step" in a Tuesday's press conference. President Trump declared a national emergency and enacted emergency powers outlined in the Stafford Act on Friday. MBA - mortgage applications decrease in latest MBA weekly survey Mortgage applications decreased 8.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 13, 2020. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 8.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 8 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 10 percent from the previous week and was 402 percent higher than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 1 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index remained unchanged compared with the previous week and was 11 percent higher than the same week one year ago. "The ongoing situation around the coronavirus led to further stress in the financial markets late last week, with unprecedented volatility and widening spreads. This drove mortgage rates back up to their highest levels since mid-February and led to a 10 percent decrease in refinance applications. However, refinance activity remains very high. Excluding the spike two weeks ago, the index remained at its highest level since October 2012, and refinancing accounted for almost 75 percent of all applications," said Joel Kan, MBA's Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting. "The Federal Reserve's rate cut and other monetary policy measures to help the economy should help to bring down mortgage rates in the coming weeks, spurring more refinancing. Amidst these challenging times, the savings that households can gain from refinancing will help bolster their own financial circumstances and support the broader economy." Added Kan, "Purchase activity was flat but remained over 10 percent higher than a year ago. The purchase market was on firm footing to start the year and has so far held steady through the current uncertainty. Looking ahead, a gloomier outlook may cause some prospective homebuyers to delay their home search, even with these lower mortgage rates." The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 74.5 percent of total applications from 76.5 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 6.4 percent of total applications. The FHA share of total applications increased to 7.3 percent from 6.9 percent the week prior. The VA share of total applications increased to 14.5 percent from 13.1 percent the week prior. The USDA share of total applications increased to 0.4 percent from 0.3 percent the week prior. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($510,400 or less) increased to 3.74 percent from 3.47 percent, with points increasing to 0.37 from 0.27 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans. The effective rate increased from last week. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $510,400) increased to 3.77 percent from 3.58 percent, with points increasing to 0.32 from 0.20 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by the FHA increased to 3.71 percent from 3.57 percent, with points increasing to 0.28 from 0.25 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week. The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 3.10 percent from 2.90 percent, with points increasing to 0.37 from 0.26 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs increased to 3.19 percent from 3.02 percent, with points decreasing to 0.19 from 0.25 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week.
16 Mar, 2020
The high-level takeaways from ATTOM Data Solutions’ newly released 2020 U.S. Single Family Rental Market Report are potential rental returns decrease from a year ago in 59 percent of the U.S. counties analyzed, while the highest potential SFR returns are in the Baltimore, Vineland, Macon, Mobile and Atlanta Metros. ATTOM’s annual single family rental report this year analyzed single-family rental returns in 389 U.S. counties with a population of at least 100,000 and sufficient rental and home price data. Rental data comes from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and home price data comes from publicly recorded sales deed data collected and licensed by ATTOM Data Solutions. According to the report, the average annual gross rental yield (annualized gross rent income divided by median purchase price of single-family homes) among the 389 counties analyzed is 8.4 percent for 2020, down slightly from an average of 8.6 percent in 2019. The report revealed the counties with the highest potential annual gross rental yields for 2020: Baltimore City/County, MD (28.9 percent); Cumberland County, NJ, in the Vineland-Bridgeton metro area (20.1 percent); Bibb County, GA, in the Macon metro area (18.2 percent); Mobile County, AL (15.7 percent); and Clayton County, GA, in the Atlanta metro area (15.1 percent). Baltimore City, Cumberland and Bibb counties also had the top three yields in 2019. ATTOM’s report also pointed out that among counties with a population of at least 1 million, the highest potential gross rental yields in 2020 are in Wayne County (Detroit), MI (14.5 percent); Cuyahoga County (Cleveland), OH (11.8 percent); Cook County, IL (9.3 percent); Dallas County, TX (9.1 percent); and Harris County, TX (8.7 percent). Here are the Top 10: Saint Clair, IL (21.0 percent); Jefferson, AL (20.7 percent); Mobile, AL (19.6 percent); Baltimore City, MD (18.5 percent); Caddo, LA (17.3 percent); Beaver, PA (15.7 percent); Lorain, OH (15.4 percent); Madison, IL (10.0 percent); Summit, OH (9.9 percent); and Spartanburg, SC (8.1 percent). ATTOM’s 2020 SFR market report also noted the counties with the lowest potential annual gross rental yields: San Francisco County, CA (3.8 percent); San Mateo County, CA (3.8 percent); Williamson County, TN, in the Nashville metro area (3.9 percent); Kings County (Brooklyn), NY (4.3 percent); and Santa Clara County, CA (4.3 percent). Moreover, along with Kings County and Santa Clara County, the lowest potential annual gross rental yields in 2020 among counties with a population of at least 1 million are in Orange County, CA (5.0 percent); Queens County, NY (5.1 percent); and Los Angeles County, CA (5.2 percent). Impossible Foods raises $500M in new funding, says it can 'thrive' in coronavirus pandemic Plant-based meat producer Impossible Foods has raised around $500 million in its latest funding round. The Redwood City, California-based food-tech startup that makes alternative meat products using a molecule called heme that makes food look, taste and bleed like real beef or pork, announced Monday its latest series F funding round led by new investor South Korea's Mirae Asset Global Investments. Impossible said the new investment will go toward accelerating its manufacturing and scale helping it to expand its retail presence in more international markets and increase supply of newer products like its plant-based Impossible Sausage and Impossible Pork. The funding news comes with the widening coronavirus pandemic resulting in school closures and businesses like restaurants, bars and gyms to shutter in an attempt to contain virus from spreading. What's more, grocery store shelves have become increasingly empty as Americans stock up. "With this latest round of fundraising, Impossible Foods has the resources to accelerate growth -- and continue to thrive in a volatile macroeconomic environment, including the current COVID-19 pandemic." With this latest round of fundraising, Impossible Foods has the resources to accelerate growth -- and continue to thrive in a volatile macroeconomic environment, including the current COVID-19 pandemic," Impossible Foods' Chief Financial Officer David Lee said in a statement. Impossible Foods has raised $1.3 billion in funding, including its latest round. Other investors include Horizons Ventures, Khosla Ventures and Temasek. And the $5 billion market for plant-based foods has grown increasingly competitive as larger food companies like Kellogg's, Nestle and Tyson roll out their own versions of plant-based meat at lower price points. As a result, Impossible Foods lowered its wholesale prices by 15 percent. And its competitor Beyond Meat told analysts earlier this month it wants to have at least one of its products comparably priced to real meat by 2024. MBA - commercial/multifamily mortgage debt grows in the fourth quarter of 2019 The level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding at the end of 2019 was $248 billion (7.3 percent) higher than at the end of 2018, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) latest Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding quarterly report. MBA's report found that total mortgage debt outstanding in the final three months of 2019 rose by 2.1 percent ($75.0 billion) compared to last year's third quarter, with all four major investor groups increasing their holdings. Multifamily mortgage debt grew by $30.4 billion (2.0 percent) to $1.53 trillion during the fourth quarter, and by $116.7 billion (8.2 percent) for the entire year. "In 2019, the amount of mortgage debt backed by commercial and multifamily properties grew by the largest annual amount since before the Global Financial Crisis," said Jamie Woodwell, MBA's Vice President of Commercial Real Estate Research. "Every major capital source increased their holdings, and some by double digits. Continuing the recent trend, the growth in multifamily mortgage debt outpaced that of other property types." Added Woodwell, "Looking ahead, a key question will be how the coronavirus and related economic shocks will affect the market's momentum in 2020. At this point it is still too early to tell." The four major investor groups are: bank and thrift; commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS); collateralized debt obligation (CDO) and other asset backed securities (ABS) issues; federal agency and government sponsored enterprise (GSE) portfolios and mortgage backed securities (MBS); and life insurance companies. MBA's analysis summarizes the holdings of loans or, if the loans are securitized, the form of the security. For example, many life insurance companies invest both in whole loans for which they hold the mortgage note (and which appear in this data under "Life Insurance Companies"), and in CMBS, CDOs and other ABS for which the security issuers and trustees hold the note (and which appear here under CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues). Commercial banks continue to hold the largest share (39 percent) of commercial/multifamily mortgages at $1.4 trillion. Agency and GSE portfolios and MBS are the second largest holders of commercial/multifamily mortgages, at $744 billion (20 percent of the total). Life insurance companies hold $561 billion (15 percent), and CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues hold $504 billion (14 percent). Looking solely at multifamily mortgages, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS hold the largest share of total debt outstanding at $744 billion (49 percent of the total), followed by commercial banks with $459 billion (30 percent), life insurance companies with $149 billion (10 percent), state and local governments with $88 billion (6 percent), and CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues with $48 billion (3 percent). In the fourth quarter of 2019, CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues saw the largest rise in dollar terms in their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt, with an increase of $23.1 billion (4.8 percent). Commercial banks increased their holdings by $21.5 billion (1.5 percent), agency and GSE portfolios and MBS increased their holdings by $16.1 billion (2.2 percent), and finance companies saw the largest decrease at $117 million (0.4 percent). In percentage terms, CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues saw the largest increase - 4.8 percent - in their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgages, and state and local government retirement funds saw their holdings decrease the most, at 1.0 percent. The $30.5 billion rise in multifamily mortgage debt outstanding between the third and fourth quarters of 2019 represented a 2.0 percent increase. In dollar terms, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS saw the largest increase, at $16.1 billion (2.2 percent), in their holdings of multifamily mortgage debt. Commercial banks increased their holdings of multifamily mortgage debt by $6.7 billion (1.5 percent). CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues increased holdings by 9.5 percent to $4.1 billion. Private pension funds saw the largest decline (7.2 percent) in their holdings, by $65 million. In percentage terms, REITs recorded the largest increase in holdings of multifamily mortgages (23.9 percent), and private pension funds saw the biggest decrease (7.2 percent). Between December 2018 and December 2019, commercial banks saw the largest gain (6.1 percent) in dollar terms in their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt - an increase of $82 billion. State and local government decreased their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgages by $1.5 billion (1.4 percent). In percentage terms, finance companies saw the largest increase (14.9 percent) in their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgages, and state and local government retirement funds saw the largest decrease (3.3 percent). The $116.7 billion rise in multifamily mortgage debt outstanding during 2019 represents an 8.2 percent increase. In dollar terms, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS saw the largest increase in their holdings of multifamily mortgage debt at 10 percent ($69.2 billion). State and local government saw the largest decrease in their holdings down $1.3 billion (1.4 percent). In percentage terms, REITs recorded the largest increase in their holdings of multifamily mortgages, 52 percent, while private pension funds saw the largest decrease, 24 percent. China's economy skids as virus paralyzes factories, households China factory production plunged at the sharpest pace in 30 years in the first two months of the year as the fast-spreading coronavirus and strict containment measures severely disrupted the world's second-largest economy. Urban investment and retail sales also fell sharply and for the first time on record, reinforcing views that the epidemic may have cut China's growth by half in the first quarter and that authorities will need to do more to restore growth. Industrial output fell by a much larger-than-expected 13.5% in January-February from the same period a year earlier, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Monday. That was the weakest reading since January 1990 when Reuters records started, and a sharp reversal of the 6.9% growth in December. The median forecast of analysts polled by Reuters was for a rise of 1.5%, though estimates varied widely. "Judging by the data, the shock to China's economic activity from the coronavirus epidemic is greater than the global financial crisis," said Zhang Yi, chief economist at Zhonghai Shengrong Capital Management. "These data suggest a small contraction in the first-quarter economy is a high probability event. Government policies would need to be focused on preventing large-scale bankruptcies and unemployment." The dire batch of official economic data on Monday also showed a shocking declines in the retail and property sectors. Fixed asset investment fell 24.5% year-on-year, dashing forecasts for a 2.8% rise and skidding from the 5.4% growth in the prior period. Private sector investment dived 26.4% from a year earlier. Retail sales shrank 20.5% on-year, compared with a rise of 0.8% tipped by analysts and 8% growth in December as consumers shunned crowded places like shopping malls, restaurants and movie theaters. China's jobless rate rose to 6.2% in February, compared with 5.2% in December and the highest since the official records were published. While officials say the epidemic's peak in China had passed, analysts warn it could take months before the economy returns to normal. The fast spread of the virus around the world is also sparking fears of a global recession that would dampen demand for Chinese goods. The NBS in a statement on Monday said the impact from the coronavirus epidemic is controllable and short-term and authorities would strengthen policy to restore economic and social order. Mainland China has seen an overall drop in new coronavirus infections, but major cities such as Beijing and Shanghai continued to wrestle with cases involving infected travelers arriving from abroad, which could undermine China's virus fighting efforts. "While domestic conditions should improve slowly in the coming months, the mounting global disruption from the coronavirus will hold back the pace of recovery," said Julian Evans-Pritchard, Senior China Economist at Capital Economics. Prior to a significant deterioration in the virus, analysts had predicted a rapid V-shaped recovery for China's economy, similar to that seen after the SARS epidemic in 2003-2004. However, the outbreak escalated just as many businesses were closing for the long Lunar New Year holidays in late January, and widespread restrictions on transportation and personal travel, as well as mass quarantine, delayed their reopening for weeks. Both exports and imports fell in the first two months from a year earlier, while slumping demand pushed factory prices back into deflation. Factories may not be back to full output until April, some analysts estimate, and consumer confidence may take even longer to recover. The pain in the industrial sector was also seen in China's real estate market. Property investment fell at its fastest pace on record while home prices stalled for the first time in nearly five years. Despite those numbers, NBS spokesman Mao Shengyong said short-term policies to support the property market were not among the government's broad swathe of stimulus options. Authorities have been ramping up support since the virus outbreak escalated, with most aimed at helping cash-starved companies stay afloat until conditions improve. Other major global economies have more recently unleashed a wave of stimulus to prop up growth and ensure financial stability. China's central bank said on Friday it was cutting the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves (RRR) for the second time this year, releasing another 550 billion yuan ($78.82 billion) to push down borrowing costs. Mao from the NBS told reporters after the data release there is room for China to appropriately raise budget deficit ratio this year, and Beijing would expand effective investment to cope with the economic downward pressure. China has cut several key interest rates since late January, and some analysts are expecting another reduction in its benchmark lending rate this week. It has also urged lenders to extend cheap loans to the worst-hit firms and tolerate late payments, though analysts note that will likely saddle banks with more bad loans. The government has also announced fiscal support measures, including more funding for the virus fight, tax waivers, cuts in social insurance fees and subsidies for firms. "I'm worried about the small firms. The pressure of rent remains a problem and tax waivers don't mean much, as there's no revenues," said Hua Changchun, chief economist at Guotai Junan Securities. "If Q1 GDP growth turns negative, there would be huge pressure to achieve the full year target, unless we can have a 8%-10% of GDP growth in the second quarter." NAHB - Fed cuts interest rates to zero The Federal Reserve on Sunday evening slashed interest rates to zero in a dramatic move to boost the economy and keep borrowing costs as low as possible for consumers and businesses in the wake of the coronavirus crisis. The Fed reduced the federal funds target rate by a full percentage point, from 1% to 1.25% down to 0% to 0.25%. NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz provides analysis on how the Fed action will provide a stimulus to the economy and housing in this Eye on Housing blog post. In an official statement, the Fed said: “The effects of the coronavirus will weigh on economic activity in the near term and pose risks to the economic outlook. In light of these developments, the Committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate to 0 to 1/4%. The Committee expects to maintain this target range until it is confident that the economy has weathered recent events and is on track to achieve its maximum employment and price stability goals.” The moves comes less than two weeks after the Fed made an emergency 50-point basis rate cut and pledged to purchase $1.5 trillion in bonds to keep the financial markets from seizing up. In today’s announcement, the Fed also announced that in order to support the smooth functioning of markets for Treasury securities and agency mortgage-backed securities that are central to the flow of credit to households and businesses, the central bank will purchase at least $500 billion of Treasury bonds and $200 billion of mortgage-backed securities over the coming months.
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